Use case · modelling

Test the assumption. See the answer.

Popurise lets Australian residential developers run many scenarios on one project. Switch between them instantly. Compare side by side. No file duplication, no merge errors, no scenario tabs to chase.

The job
Stress-test a deal across variants
When
Pre-IC, pre-bid, refi, rate move
Used by
Developers, DMs, analysts, capital partners
Scenarios per project
Unlimited

The job

Stop arguing about a single number. Test the range.

A feasibility is not one number. It is a range across rates, costs, programme and scheme. Popurise treats scenarios as first-class. You build the base case, then add as many variants as the project needs.

Many scenarios per project

Build a conservative, base and stretch scenario on the same project. Add more as needed.

Lock the base case

Mark a scenario as the base. Test variants against it without overwriting it.

Side by side compare

View profit on cost, development margin and equity IRR across scenarios on one screen.

Programme shocks

Test a three-month delay or staged sales without rebuilding the cashflow.

Cost and rate shocks

Move construction costs, sale prices or finance rates and watch the outputs update live.

Scheme variants

Test a townhouse scheme against a duplex scheme on the same site, in the same project.

When it matters

The four times a single-number feasibility falls over.

Pre-IC pack

IC asks: what is the downside. Without a structured downside scenario you are guessing.

Pre-bid

You need to walk into a land bid knowing what build rate and GRV the bid implies.

Rate move

Senior debt rate moves 75bp. You need to know which deals in the pipeline turn.

Cost increase

Builder comes back over budget. You need to know whether the scheme still works.

Inputs and outputs

The variables you actually change between scenarios.

Most scenarios change five or six inputs, not fifty. Popurise stores the delta against the base case so you can read what each scenario actually represents.

Inputs that drive it
  • Scheme size and mix variant
  • Construction $/m² by component
  • Per-unit GRV and sales schedule
  • Senior debt rate, fees and LVR
  • Programme duration and S-curve shape
  • Statutory contributions and authority fees
  • Equity quantum and timing
Outputs that matter
  • Profit on cost across scenarios
  • Development margin and equity IRR
  • Peak debt and peak equity
  • Months to settlement complete
  • Residual land value at each scenario
  • Scenario delta versus base case

How it works

From base case to a range, in four steps.

  1. 01

    Build the base case

    Enter the site, scheme, costs, revenue, finance and timing for your central assumptions.

  2. 02

    Duplicate into variants

    Create a conservative and stretch scenario from the base. Adjust only what changes.

  3. 03

    Compare on one screen

    View all scenarios side by side. Read profit on cost, margin, IRR and peak debt across the range.

  4. 04

    Lock the recommendation

    Flag the scenario you are recommending. Export a one-page summary for IC.

Versus the spreadsheet

Scenarios that live inside the project.

Spreadsheet scenarios

Files on the shared drive

  • Each scenario saved as a separate file
  • No record of what changed between versions
  • Merge fear: which file is the latest
  • Comparison built by copying outputs by hand
  • Recommendation buried in the file name
Popurise

Scenarios in Popurise

  • All scenarios live inside one project
  • Delta tracked against the locked base case
  • Switch scenarios in one click
  • Side-by-side compare on every output
  • Recommendation flagged, audit-ready
Scenarios per projectUnlimited
Switch timeOne click
ComparisonSide by side
Audit trailDelta versus base

Test your next assumption in Popurise.

No spreadsheets. No setup. Fourteen-day free trial, no credit card.